Great Exuma Bahamas history with tropical systems
current weather
(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm description is given.
Great Exuma most likely to be hit by a hurricane between september 7th and september 13th


Years within or near core
1871br,1877-2ts,1882br,1883,1884br,1885tsbr,1887ts,1888br,1888ts,1891,1896br,1899m,1899ts,1901ts,1903,1908m,1908br,1919,1923br,1926-2m,
1928ts,1928m,1931ts,1932ts,1932brm,1932m,1933tsbr,1933br,1933brm,1935ts,1936ts,1937ts,1938ts,1941br,1941tsbr,1942ts,1942br,1945m,1946ts,
1949,1952m,1956tsbr,1960brm,1970tsbr,1973ts,1979br,1981ts,1995br,1996,1999brm,2001br,2004brm,2005ts,2011m,2012,2015m,2016m,2017brm,2020br
61 times in 152yrs end of 2023





Names from list above
Fox,Carla,Donna,Gilda,David,Arlene,Gert,Fran,Lili,Floyd,Michelle,Frances,Rita,Irene,Sandy,Joaquin,Matthew,Irma,Isaias,

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio
TS=23, 37.70% H=38, 62.30%
only 28.33% of all tropical systems affecting Great Exuma are major hurricanes this includes brushes

Longest gap between storms
13years 1981-1995

How often this area gets affected?
brushed or hit every 2.49 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits.(hurricane force winds for at least a few hours)
(18h)once every 8.44 years

Average years between major hurricane hits.(11)
once every 13.82 years

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)
116 mph

Statistically when this area should be affected next
1 year overdue

Last affected by
2020 July 31st Hurricane Isaias passes just south while moving N.W with 80mph winds radar confirmed eye wall did not come onshore.

This areas hurricane past
1883 90mph sept 8th from the south 106 killed in bahamas passed just west of here
1891 Aug 23rd 95mph from the ESE
1899 Aug 11th, 120mph from the ESE
1903 Sept 10th ,75mph from the S.E
1908 Sept 13th 120mph from the S.E Book reference page 370
1919 Sept 7th 110mph from the ESE
1926 July 26th 140mph winds from the S.E destroy approx 90% of homes,1000 left homeless. Nine deaths reported on island.
1926 Sept 17th, 150mph from the ESE
1928 sept 16th a hurricane with 155mph passes just north the island from the S.E but only slight damage reported
1932 Oct 11th 120mph from the S.W
1945 Sept 14th ,120mph from the ESE just south
1949 Aug 25th 105mph from the ESE just north
1952 Oct 26th, 115mph winds just nort while moving east
1996 hurricane Lili hits oct 19th with 105mph winds press 28.44 sustained winds in area recorded at 80mph from S.W Moving E.N.E at 23 mph moderate damage.NHC report
2011 Aug 24th, Hurricane Irene passes just north while moving WNW with 120mph winds .There were unconfirmed reports of wind gusts to 115mph in Moss town. Irene model history | our coverage as it happened
2012 Oct 25th, Hurricane Sandy hits south part of island from the south while moving north with 105mph winds. Sandy model history | post NHC
2015 Oct 2nd Hurricane Joaquin passes just east of the island while turning north with 130mph winds sustained hurricane force winds affected the southern Exumas. Extreme flooding and downed power lines were reported.NHC final report | Wind bar graph | Satellite shot
2016 Oct 6th,Hurricane matthew passes just south with 115mph winds while moving N.W. Obs while passing | Cuba radar Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School | Matthew timeline



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Stat sources: NHC Track maps/hurdat2/cyclone reports Hurricane research division
Text Sources:(alp)....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....hurricanecity.com (calculations) Jim Williams.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Schwartz.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....plus many more.............
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