(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm
(bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names
are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm
description is given.
Years near or within core winds 1874,1879ts,1880br,1880,1884tsbr,1886,1895br,1896,1898tsbr,1899ts,1901tsbr,1903,1909tsbr, 1910br,1912,1915,1916,1917br,1918tsbr,1924ts,1928ts,1931ts,1932ts,1933ts,1933br,1934ts 1942ts,1944,1951,1980,1988,1994ts,2004,2005br,2007,2008ts,2012 37
times in 141yrs end of 2012
Names from list above Charlie,Allen,Gilbert,Gordon ,Ivan,Dennis,Dean,Gustav,Sandy,
Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio TS=16, 43.24% H=21, 56.76%
Longest gap between storms 29 years 1951-1980
How often this area gets
affected? brushed or hit every 3.81 years
Average years between direct hurricane hits.(hurricane force winds for at least a few hours) (15h)once every 9.4 years
Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts) 108mph
Statistically when this area should be affected
next hit in 2012
by 2008 August 28th Tropical storm Gustav moves west over the island with 70mph winds,7 killed.
This areas hurricane
past 1874 Nov 1st 90mph from the South moving NE direct hit 1880 aug 19th a hurricane hits from the SE with 80mph winds over 20 killed in jamaica. 1886 Aug 20th,110mph from the SSE 1896 .Sept 25th,80mph from the ESE 1903 Aug 11th, 120mph from the ESE 1912 Nov 18th 90mph from the WSW causes massive tidal surges killing 100 . 1915 Aug 13th, 110mph from the ESE passes just north 1916 Aug 15th,110mph from the ESE 1944 Aug 20th, 120mph from the ESE 1951 aug 18th hurricane Charlie hits with 85mph winds from the ESE with some gusts to 125mph winds very heavy damage,kills 154 leaves 50,000 homeless Newpaper Headline 1980 Aug 6th, 130mph to the north Hurricane Allen from the ESE passes 37miles to north. 1988
hurricane Gilbert hits sept 12 with 121mph winds from the ESE with gusts to 147mph,kills 45
leaves 500,000 homeless 2 billion dollars damage to area,banana crops ruined satelite photo | newspaper article | av model error
2004 ,sept 11th hit by Hurricane Ivan with 155mph winds moving approx 50 miles to the south from the ESE with Ivan having a wind field approx 85 miles out. Moderate to heavy damage in Kingston.Ham radio report of 124mph gust Closeup sat image
2007 August 19th Hurricane Dean passes just south with 145mph winds from the ESE while moving west. Significant damage to roofs & structures in southern Jamaica. Kingston and St. Andrew ,severe wind damage and downed power lines in the Riverton city area. Also, a fallen tree caused the collapse of a residential building in the Chambers Lane Area of Liguanea, St. Andrew. Historic Sabina Park cricket ground reported roof damage.In Jamaica, the most severe impacts were reported in the southeastern parishes of Clarendon, St. Catherine, and Kingston/St. Andrew, where it is estimated that roughly two-thirds of the homes were completely destroyed or would require major repairs. Flooding in Jamaica was not generally significant, although some occurred in eastern parishes where grounds had become saturated by rains the previous week. Agriculture, particularly the banana crop, was severely impacted.Stony Hill, St. Andrew sustained 75mph,Portmore, St. Catherine sustained 95mph,Lionel Town, Clarendon sustained 97mph
2012 Oct 24th Hurricane Sandy hits from the south with 80mph winds while moving north. Sandy model history | post NHC
Text Sources:The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox...Sudden Sea R.A Scotti.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Stormscaping Pamela Crawford.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Scwartz..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....NOAA research division.....hurricanecity.com (calculations) Jim Williams.....plus many more.............