Montego Bay,Jamaica's history with tropical systems
Current weather

(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm description is given(since 1871).

Years within or near core
1874,1879ts,1880br,1886,1887tsbr,1895br,1896br,1898tsbr,1901-2tsbr,1903,1904tsbr,
1910,1912,1915,1916,1917br,1918tsbr,1924ts,1931ts,1932ts
1933ts,1933,1935tsbr,1939tsbr,1942tsbr,1944bd,1949ts,1951bd,1980,1988bd,1994tsbr,2002-2ts,2004,2007br,2008tsbd,2012br
38 times in 142yrs end of 2013


Names from list above
King,charlie,Allen,Gilbert,Gordon,Isidore,Lili ,Ivan,Dean,Gustav,Sandy,

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio
TS=19, 50% H=19, 50%
Longest gap between storms
28 years 1951-1980

How often Montego Bay gets affected?
brushed or hit every 3.74 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits.(usually within 40 miles to include small hurricanes)
(13h)once every 10.92 years

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)
114 mph

Statistically when montego bay should be affected next
before the end of 2016

Last affected by
2012 Oct 24th Hurricane Sandy passes over 50 miles to the east with 80mph winds while moving north.

This areas hurricane past
1874 Nov 1st, 95mph from the SSW
1886 Aug 20th, 110mph from the SSE
1903 Aug 11th, 120mph from the ESE
1910 Sept 8th,80mph from the ESE
1912 nov 18TH,115mph (hurdat) from the S.W causes heavy storm surge & kills 100 in jamaica on nov 18th.
1915 Aug13th,a hurricane hit direct with from the west with 110mph winds from the ESE causing heavy damage.
1916 Aug 15th, 110mph winds from the ESE
1933 Oct 29th 95mph winds from the south causing moderate damage passing just west.
1944 Aug 20th thousands left homeless in northern areas after a cat 3 with 120mph winds moves through while moving WNW.
1951 hurricane charlie 125mph (hurdat)just south from the ESE aug 18th kills 154 in jamaica,50,000 homeless.
1980 hurricane Allen kills 3 here from gusts to 100mph allen was 35 miles to the northon AUg 6th when passing with 130mph winds causing heavy damage to the area from the ESE . Damage photo
1988 Sept 12th,hurricane Gilbert hits from the east with 115mph winds montego bay heavily damaged banana crops almost totally destroyed. newspaper article | satelite photo | av model error
2004 ,sept 11th hit by Hurricane Ivan with 155mph winds moving approx 60 miles to the south from the ESE with Ivan having a wind field approx 85 miles out. Moderate damage in this area. .



Text Sources:The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox...Sudden Sea R.A Scotti.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Stormscaping Pamela Crawford.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Scwartz..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....NOAA research division.....hurricanecity.com (calculations) Jim Williams.....plus many more.............

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