Saint John,Virgin Island's history with tropical systems
current weather
(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named,not every stat on every storm description is given.

Years within or near core
1871,1876,1879ts,1889,1891,1891ts,1893,1894br,1896tsbr,1898-2ts,1899br,1900ts,1901tsbr,1901ts
1903ts,1908tsbr,1910,1916ts,1916,1916,1924ts,1928,1931ts,1932,1933ts,1933tsbr,1933ts,1938tsbr
,1950tsbr,1959tsbr,1960,1979-2ts,1981ts,1984ts,1989br,1995,1996,1998,1999-2br,2000,2007subts,2008br,
2010br,2011ts,2014br
48 times in 145yrs end of 2016




Names from list above
Baker,Edith,Donna,Claudette,Frederic,Gert,Klaus,Hugo,Iris,Bertha,Georges,Jose,Lenny,Debby,Olga,Omar,Earl,Irene,Gonzalo,

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio
TS=25, 52.08% H=23, 47.92%

How often this area gets affected?
brushed or hit every 3.02 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits.(usually within 40 miles to include small hurricanes)
once every 9.67 years (15h)

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)
106mph

Statistically when this area should be affected next
before the end of 2018
This is just a statistical average & does not mean the area will be affected by that year

Last affected by
2014 Hurricane Gonzalo brushes to the N.E of here with 105mph winds on Oct 14th.

This areas hurricane past
1871 aug 21st a hurricane with 115mph winds from the ESE 27 killed in the virgin islands
1876 sept 13th a major hurricane with 115mph hits from the east.
1889 Sept 3rd, 105mph from the S.E
1891 aug 19th 95mph
1893 aug 16th 95mph
1910 sept6th 95mph
1916 aug 22nd 90mph just north
1916 Oct 10th,110mph from the south
1928 sept 13th a cat 5 ,50miles south with 160mph winds causes heavy damage here.US president asking for help
1932 sept 27th 105mph winds
1960 sept 5th,Hurricane Donna passes just north by 30 miles with 130mph winds.more here
1995 hurricane Marilyn sept 16th hits with 110mph winds press 28.23 heavy damage
1996 hurricane Bertha july 85mph winds press 29.03 causes minor damage & knocks some trees down.
1998 hurricane Georges hits just south with 110mph winds causing minor damage to the island.
2000 Aug 22nd Hurricane Debby brushes just north with 75mph winds causing minor damage.



Text Sources:The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox...Sudden Sea R.A Scotti.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Stormscaping Pamela Crawford.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Scwartz..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....NOAA research division.....hurricanecity.com (calculations) Jim Williams.....
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