Ponce,Puerto Rico's history with tropical systems
Current weather

(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm description is given(since 1871).

Years within 60 miles
1876,1878ts,1883br,1891,1893,1896,1898ts,1899,1900tsbr,1901ts,1901tsbr,1909,1910,1916,
1919ts,1926,1928,1930,1931br,1932,1933ts,1938ts,1945tsbr,1956,1966br,1967br,1979ts,1981tsbr,1989br,1996,
1998,2004ts,2007subts,2011br
34 times in 140 yrs end of 2011


Names from list above
Betsy,Inez,Beulah,Frederic,Gert,Hugo,Hortense,Georges,Jeanne, Olga,Irene,

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio
TS=13, 38.24% H=21, 61.76%

Longest gap between storms
11 years 1967-1979

How often this area gets affected?
brushed or hit every4.12 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits.(hurricane force wind gusts for a few hours)
(15h)once every 9.33 years

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)
102 mph

Statistically when this area should be affected next
before the end of the 2016 season
This is just a statistical average & does not mean the area will be affected by that year

Last affected by
2011 Aug 22nd, Irene becomes a hurricane with 75mph winds just north of here while moving WNW.

This areas hurricane past
1876 sept 13th 95mph from the east reports of 19 killed but historians suspect the spanish government withheld death toll & damage info.
1891 aug 20th 105mph from the ESE just south hundreds killed
1893 Aug 16th,115mph from the S.E
1896 Aug 31st 95mph from the S.E
1899 aug 8th San Ciriaco hurricane hits with 110mph winds from the ESE. Winds at approach on SE Puerto Rico were est at 140mph. 3,369 deaths reported in Puerto Rico.Closest approach of eye to Ponce was 15 miles to the North.
1901 july 7th 80mph winds
1909 Aug 22nd,90mph to the south from the ESE
1910 Sept 6th,95mph just south from the east
1916 Aug 22nd, 80mph from the ESE
1926 july 23rd ,80mph many killed by a hurricane just south while moving NW
1928 sept 13th the san felipe hurricane swept across P.R from the S.E with 160mph winds killing a preist named after the storm.The hurricane was just north of here & dumped over 30 inches of rain 312 killed. US president asking for help | Newspaper Article
1930,Sept 2nd,115mph to the south from the ESE
1932 Sept 27th 105mph winds from due east.Newspaper article
1956 Aug 12th hurricane betsy hits with 90mph winds from the S.E
1996 Sept 10th, hurricane Hortense hit S.W Puerto rico with 80mph winds from the S.E & large waves battered the south coast press 29.23 over 20 inches of rain in city of Guayama east of Ponce 19 killed 4 ft storm surge
1998 hurricane Georges to north with 110mph winds heavy damage on entire island 2 billion dollars 12 killed sept 22nd while moving west



Text Sources:The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox...Sudden Sea R.A Scotti.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Stormscaping Pamela Crawford.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Scwartz..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....NOAA research division.....hurricanecity.com (calculations) Jim Williams.....plus many more.............

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