Bermuda's history with tropical systems
Current weather

(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm (bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm description is given(since 1871).
Bermuda most likely to be hit by a hurricane between september 21st and september 27th
Years within or near core
1874,1878br,1880,1880br,1887tsbr,1889ts,1891-3,1894,1895,1899,1899m,1900br,1903,1903ts,1906m,1910br,1915m,1916brm,1918,1921,1922m,1923ts,1926-2m,1930,1933brm,
1934br,1935brm,1935tsbr,1938ts,1939m,1942br,1943ts,1947,1948,1948m,1949brm,1953ts,1953,1957ts,1961brm,1963,1964br,1970,1973,1975,1977tsbr,1977ts,1978ts,
1981-2ts,1982br,1984tsbr,1984-2ts,1987ts,1987m,1988xtropstbr,1989,1991br,1995,2000br,2001subts,2003m,2004subts,2006,2008ts,2010,2011-3tsbr,2013ts,2014-2,
2015br,2016tsbr,2016m,2019m,2020xts,2020,2020-2br,2022tsbr,2022br,2022brm,2023br,2023pts,2023br
90 times in 152 yrs end of 2023






Names from list above
Dolly,Edna,Arlene,Brenda,Alice,Faye,Clara,Gladys,Evelyn,Hope,Emily,Floyd,Debby,Gustav,Hortense,Arlene,Emily,Keith,Dean,Felix,Grace,Felix,Florence,Karen,Fabian,Nicole,
Florence,Bertha,Igor,Jose,Maria,Sean,Gabrielle,Fay,Gonzalo,Joaquin,Karl,Nicole,Humberto,Arthur,Paulette,Teddy,Epsilon,Alex,Earl,Fiona,Franklin,Idalia,Lee,


Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio
TS=30, 33.33% H=60, 66.67%
only 19.54% of all tropical systems in Bermuda are major hurricanes

Longest gap between storms
6 years 1880-1887

How often bermuda gets affected?
brushed or hit every 1.69 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits.(hurricane force winds for a few hours)
(38h)once every 4 years

Average years between major hurricane hits.(11)
once every 13.82 years

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts)
101 mph

Statistically when bermuda should be affected next
before the end of 2025



Last affected by
2023 Sept 15th hurricane Lee brushes west with 85mph winds mph winds while moving north.

Bermuda's hurricane past
1874 Sept 5th 90mph to the west from the SSE
1880 Aug 30th,80mph from the S.E passes just east
1891 Sept 21st,95mph from the S.E just east
1891 Oct 3rd,95mph from the SSE just west
1891 Oct 18th,85mph from the south just west
1894 Oct 26th,95mph from the WSW passes just north
1895 Oct 24th 105mph from the WSW
1899 Sept 4th 90mph from the SSW
1899 Sept 13th 120mph winds from the S.W
1903 Sept 28th, 110mph from the SSW passes just east
1906 Sept 9th 120mph from the WSW
1915 Sept 2nd 120mph from the ESE
1918 sept 4th 105 mph while moving N.W. just west of here. The lowest reported pressure for this storm was 28.88 inches [978 mb], at Hamilton, Bermuda,A great deal of damage was done to trees in and around Hamilton, and the bottom of the Lane traffic was blocked. The local freight boats were either driven ashore or swamped, some being quite beyond repairs.
1921 Sept 15th,110mph from the S.W passes just N.W of here
1922 Sept 21st 115mph with a pressure of 28.57 from the SSW
1926 Aug 6th, 115mph to the west from the SSE
1926 Oct 22nd,125mph from the WSW
1930 Aug 26th, 110mph from the south passes just west
1939 Oct 16th,125mph from the SSW
1947 Oct 20th, 105mph (hurdat) from the S.W passes just west
1948 Sept 13th,125mph from the south passes just west
1948 oct 7th a fast moving hurricane hits with 105mph winds from the WSW
1953 sept 18th Hurricane Edna passes approx 60 miles to the NW from the S.W with 105mph winds (hurdat). Aircraft hurricane hunter B-29 goes down in Edna & 7 men were never found.
1963 Aug 9th hurricane Arlene hits with 110mph winds (Hurdat)from the S.W press 28.78 causes 4 ft tides. NHC Wallet
1970 80mph Oct 16th from the SSW
1973 July 4th,Hurricane Alice hits the west side of Island with gusts to 85mph press 995mb from the south. NHC Wallet
1975 Sept 26th hurricane Faye hits from the SSE with 105mph winds. NHC Wallet
1987 Sept 25th hurricane Emily hits with 90mph gusts to 125mph 70 injured millions in damage,St Georges hit hard as well as princess hotel all 80 rooms windows shattered,king edwards hospital treated 111 people for broken bones from flying debris,roof blows off hospital. NHC Wallet
1989 Aug 6th,Hurricane Dean hits from the south with 95mph winds. NHC Wallet
1995 Aug 15th,hurricane Felix with 80mph winds brushes 75 miles to the S.W from the SSE area had gusts to 75mph press 28.47 . NHC report
2003 Sept 5th Hurricane Fabian hits with 120mph winds while moving NNE at 18mph. Roof damage,many trees down, windows blown in. 4 swept to sea & 3 fisherman drowned. Eastern Eyewall hits island hard,weather instruments disabled. Unofficial gusts to 130mph. Over 300 Million dollars damage (US). Bermuda Harbor Radio gust to 143 kts. Hurricanecity live coverage at landfall
2006 Sept 11th, Hurricane Florence passes approx 50 to 60 miles west while moving NNE with 90 mph winds causing minor damage with gusts to 90mph on the island. A few minor injuries occured with power outages.An automated observing station (elevation 157ft) reported sustained winds of 82mph with a gust to 112mph. A high gust of 115mph was recorded at the Bermuda maritime operations centre.Interview with resident | webcam animation | Radar Animation(Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School)
2010 Sept 19th Hurricane Igor passes just west with 75mph winds causing power outages over much of the island. Gust of 93 mph reported. Igor model history | Radar animation (Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School)
2014 Oct 12th,Fay becomes a hurricane while passing over the island with 75mph winds causing extensive damage on the island. NHC final report
2014 Oct 17th, Hurricane Gonzalo hits from the SSW with 110mph winds, hurricane force winds over island for 6 hrs ending on the 18th. Eye passes over Bermuda during evening some locations experience wind gust's to 143mph in elevated areas,several observing sites report 952mb 2 to 3 inches of rain highest tide 3.25ft at low tide. Damage moderate most without power during storm, roof damage,many trees down est 200 to 400 million (us)damage.Position when hit | IR image | closeup radar shot as eye hit | hurricane warning show | NHC final report
2016,Oct 13th,Hurricane Nicole hits with 115mph winds from the S.W eye passed directly over. At one point half the island without power,many trees down,erosion,heavy rain overall moderate damage.Radar (Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) | Nicole timeline
2019, Sept 18th hurricane Humberto passes 65 miles to the north while moving N.E with 120mph winds. Expanding hurricane force wind field impacts the island for 3 hours.Humberto caused widespread damage and power outages on Bermuda. Powerful wind gusts exceeding 100 kt across all of the island knocked down trees and power lines. Around 28,000 customers, or more than 80% of the island’s subscribers closest point of approach | Bermuda weather service report gust to 116mph | NHC report
2020 Sept 14th Hurricane Paulette hits with 90mph winds eye passes directly over while turning N.E. Satellite animation


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Stat sources: NHC Track maps/hurdat2/cyclone reports Hurricane research division
Text Sources:(alp)....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....hurricanecity.com (calculations) Jim Williams.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Schwartz.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....plus many more.............
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