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... (for the week of Aug 31st through Sept 7th )...This past week was not a good week of predictions calling for Hurricane Gustav to eventually hit South Florida from the south. The only thing I got right from last week was predicting a movement near the Caymans as a cat 2 & rapid stregthening thereafter. I also said that 95L which is now Hanna could become Hanna, but head north towards Bermuda of course this is still possible. I will only grade myself 10% accuracy for last week and just over 68% so far for this year. As of this post on Sunday evening we have Hurricane Gustav in the S.E Gulf of Mexico heading towards Louisiana. I expect this system to maintain cat 3 status and come ashore right over Lafourche Parish moving N.W on Monday morning. I think there will be flooding in many areas but not quite as bad as expected due to Gustav not strengthening. I think Gustav could move very slowly once inland & be a huge rainmaker over Louisiana & maybe the biggest story will be Lafayette flooding. Next is Hanna a tropical storm near the SE Bahamas moving WNW. I expect hanna to strengthen in the western Bahamas near Andros Island late week and turn N.W skirting the entire East coast of Florida as a cat 2 hurricane by the weekend. I think Hanna will move right up the coast & inland in South carolina as a cat 2 hurricane possibly cat 3. Elsewhere we have 2 more invests with 98L in the central Atlantic & 97L in the East Atlantic. I expect both of these systems to move NW into the open Atlantic with 97L becoming TS Ike in the process. Yet another strong wave is exiting Africa & this could develop into Josephine while crossing the Atlantic and become a hurricane by late weekend. I wish the people of Louisiana the best of luck with Gustav & lets hope the levees hold and there is a low death toll. Be sure to check out my tropical update videos right here |

