Jim's predictions for the week!!
WEEK#1=100%--#2=100%--#3=0%----#4=100%----#5=75%----#6=30%----#7=100%----#8=60%----#9=70%----#10=20%----#11=60%----#12=80%----#13=80% =875 for the year 67.30%
Season accuracy after the 2002 Hurricane season 75.20%
Season accuracy after the 2003 Hurricane season 53.20%
Season accuracy after the 2004 Hurricane season 68.87%
Season accuracy after the 2005 Hurricane season 51.56%
Season accuracy after the 2006 Hurricane season 70.62%
Season accuracy after the 2007 Hurricane season 72.76%
Season accuracy after the 2008 Hurricane season 58.46%
Season accuracy after the 2009 Hurricane season 75.20%
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... (for the week of August 30th through Sept 5th) Last week I predicted that Danielle would become a cat 3 hurricane & flirt with cat 4 which is exactly what happened. I called for this to pass into the open Atlantic without hitting land. I also said that invest 96L would become Earl and also pass into the Atlantic without hitting land. As of this post Earl became major but did hit the very northern Leeward Islands but it looks like this could eventually head out to sea. I also said that we would see no other named storms this week & invest 97L never did get named. Overall I will grade myself another 80% & it would be higher had earl not gotten so close to the Leeward Islands. For this week we have major hurricane Earl North of Puerto Rico heading WNW. I expect Earl to move NW then NNW & North approx 100 to 150 miles east of the outer banks of N.C. I expect earl to weaken down to cat 2 status around 36N & gradually turn NNE & become extra tropical while hitting western New Foundland. I will also call for Tropical storm Fiona to form but have trouble with wind shear as she nears the Leeward Islands. Fiona should pass north following the weakness left behind by hurricane Earl. The outflow from Earl should prevent Earl from becoming much more than a cat 1 as it heads north towards Bermuda. I also think we could see another Tropical storm form in the mid Atlantic by the weekend & we will watch Gaston head west setting the stage for next week. Be sure to check out my tropical update videos right here |
| 2003, jims top 5 #1)Halifax NS (Juan) #2)Cozumel (Claudette), #3)Brownsville (Erika), #4)Oviedo DR (Odette) #5)Elizabeth city N.C (Isabel). 2004 top 5 #1)Ft Walton/Pensacola (Ivan) ,#2)Cape hatteras (Gaston),#3)Acklins Isl BH (Frances), #4)Cozumel (0),#5)Cabo Corrientes Cuba (Ivan). 2005 top 5 Punta Allen MX (Emily), #2)Gulfport MS (Katrina), #3)Pascagoula MS (Katrina), #4)Vero bch (0), #5)Biloxi MS (Katrina) "notice the Mississippi heavy leaning" 2006 top 5 #1)vero bch (Ernesto), #2)Pascagoula MS(0), #3) Sable Isl NS (0), #4)Mobile Al (0), #5)Cape Hatteras (0), 2007 top 5 #1)Elizabeth city NC (Gabrielle), #2)Belize (Dean),#3)Bluefields Nicaragua (0), #4)Antigua (0), #5)Martinique(Dean). 2008 top 5 #1)St Martin (Omar), #2)Antigua/guadeloupe (0), #3)Grand Bahama (0), #4) Destin (0), #5) Vero to Lake worth (Fay) .Ticking time bomb=Morgan city La(Gustav) 2009 top 5 #1) Grand Bahama (0), #2)Cancun Mx (0) , #3) Bluefields Nicaragua (Ida), #4 Ft Lauderdale (0), #5 Pascagoula MS,(Ida) VERY HIGH THREAT.......Vero Bch,FL....Ft Walton bch,FL....Ft Lauderdale,FL (TS Bonnie) ....Pascagoula MS....Boynton bch,FL.... MODERATE THREAT...Punta Allen,MX....Grand Bahama Isl....Tampico,MX ....CatIsl BAH....Grenada....Manzanillo,Cuba....Elizabeth city,N.C.... Martinique....Aklins Isl BAH.... Miami,FL.(ts Bonnie)...Great Exuma BAH....Bimini BAH.(ts bonnie)...Barbados....Biloxi,MS ....San Salvador BAH.... Ticking timebomb.....Beaufort,South Carolina   | During this week back in? |
