(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm
(bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names
are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm
description is given.(since 1871)
Years near or within
core of wind field 1871-2bdts,1874bdts,1877bdtsbr,
1936ts,1938tsbd,1944bdts,1945-2bdts,1947bdtsbr,1950-2bdts,1952br,1960bd,1964tsbd,1964,1968ts,1968bdbr,1976subtsbd, 1979,1982subtsbd,1984tsbd,1985br,1996bdxtropst,2000tsbd,2005ts,2008ts,2012ts,2013tsbd,2016-2bdts,2016bdtsbr,2016,(2017bdts not in stats) 61 times in 145yrs
end of 2016
Names from list
Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio TS=45, 73.77% H=16, 26.23%
Longest gap between storms 10 years 1986-1995
How often this area gets
affected? brushed or hit every 2.38 years
Average years between direct hurricane hits.(hurricane winds for at least a few hours) (13h)once every 11.15 years state stats
Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts) 103mph
Statistically when this area should be affected
next affected in 2017
Last affected by 2017 Sept 11th, TS Irma passes to west by 74 miles with 65mph winds while moving north.
This areas hurricane past 1878 Sept 11th,strengthening to a hurricane while moving away with 85mph winds, press 29.19 (hurdat)
1885 Aug 24th, a cat 2 hurricane moving north while just east with 105mph winds
1888 oct 11th 80mph from the SW 1893 Aug 27th,115mph just off shore while moving north.Distance from downtown Jacksonville of 38 nm yields a central pressure of 943.5 mb at the stormís closest point of approach to Jacksonville. Damage reports from the 1893 hurricane are very similar to damage sustained in Hurricane Floyd in 1999 and it appears the 1893 event was a similar storm for those areas.
1893, Oct 13th ,120mph just offshore while moving north
1894 sept 26th a hurricane from the SSW heavy damage to crops & homes passes just south & southeast with 80mph winds 1896 Sept 29th a very fast moving hurricane from the gulf of Mexico SSW passes 49 miles west with 110mph winds causing heavy damage. 1898 Oct 2nd a major hurricane with 130mph winds moves into the Georgia N Florida border coming from the SE. 1928 sept 17, 90mph from the south just west 1960 Sept 11th, hurricane Donna hits from the S.W passing just east with 105mph winds 1964 Dora sept 10th 115mph winds just south by 30 miles from the east 3 killed 230mill in damage area battered by hurricane force winds for 15 hrs,heavy damage here. N.E winds @ 85mph observedNewspaper headline
1979 sept 4th from the SSE,David passes by just offshore by 40miles arguably a brush with 95mph winds.
2016 ,Oct 7th Hurricane Matthew passes just east by 37 miles with 110mph winds while moving north. One death reported ,72-year-old man was repairing a hole in his roof when he fell off the roof. Battering waves knocked down and washed
away part of the Jacksonville Beach Pier. The combination of storm surge and freshwater flooding
of the St. Johns River destroyed many properties and knocked out electrical power for nearly
250,000 customers in the Jacksonville metropolitan area. (per NHC)Radar (Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) | Best models | Matthew timeline | NHC final report
Stat sources:NHC Track maps/hurdat2/cyclone reports | Unisys hurricane database | Hurricane reseach division Text Sources:(alp)....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....hurricanecity.com (calculations) Jim Williams.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Scwartz.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox...Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Stormscaping Pamela Crawford.....Sudden Sea R.A Scotti.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....plus many more.............