Saint Lucia's History with Tropical Systems

(br) = Brush (ts) = Tropical Storm (bd) = Back Door, meaning coming from over land from opposite coast. Not all names are noted. Also, storms before 1950 were not named. Not every stat on every storm description is given. (since 1871)

Saint Lucia most likely to be hit by a hurricane between August 31st and September 6th

Years within or near core

1872ts
1875
1876ts
1880ts
1883brm
1886ts
1886
1887-2ts
1888ts
1891m
1894brm
1894
1895ts
1895tsbr
1896-2tsbr
1898
1898tsbr
1903
1918tsbr
1921br
1941ts
1942ts
1943ts
1944tsbr
1948ts
1949ts
1951
1960ts
1963
1966ts
1967ts
1970tsbr
1979brm
1980m
1987tsbr
1994tsbr
1995ts
2001tsbr
2001ts
2002tsbr
2007
2010
2012ts
2013ts
2016ts
2017ts
2018ts
2019ts
2021br
2023ts
2024mbr

53 times in 153 years (as of end of 2024)

Names from list above (D storms most likely to impact the area)

Dog
Abby
Edith
Judith
Beulah
Dorothy
David
Allen
Emily
Debby
Iris
Chantal
Jerry
Lili
Dean
Tomas
Ernesto
Chantal
Matthew
Harvey
Kirk
Dorian
Elsa
Bret
Beryl

Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio

TS = 36, 67.92%
H = 17, 32.08%

only 11.32% of all tropical systems affecting Saint Lucia are major hurricanes this includes brushes

Longest gap between storms

19 years 1922-1940

How often this area gets affected?

Brushed or hit every 2.89 years

Average years between direct hurricane hits.

Once every 13.91 years. (11 hits)

Average years between major hurricane hits.

Once every 76.5 years. (2 hits)

Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on sustained winds from advisories, not gusts)

100 mph

Statistically when this area should be affected next

Before the end of 2027

This is just a statistical average & does not mean the area will be affected by that year.

Last affected by

2024 July 1st Hurricane Beryl passes well to the south by 91 miles with 150 mph winds while moving west-northwest.

This area's hurricane history

1875, 90 mph September 9th just north
1886 August 16th, 105 mph from the east-northeast passes just south
1891 August 18th, 125 mph just north from the east-southeast. Hit map
1894 October 12th 95 mph from the southeast
1898 September 11th, 110 mph just south from the southeast
1903 August 9th 95 mph just north from the east
1951 September 2nd Dog 75 mph (HURDAT) from the east
1963 September 25th, Hurricane Edith hits with 90 mph winds pressure 28.88 10 killed from the east-southeast. NHC Wallet
1980 Hurricane Allen eye passes just south Allen had 130 mph winds at the time August 4th very heavy damage. Six reported killed with 235 million in damage. NHC Wallet
2007 August 17th, Hurricane Dean passes between Martinique and St Lucia with 100 mph winds.The roof at the Children's Ward of the Victoria Hospital had been blown off and roads had been blocked with debris. The two airports on the island had been closed and eyewitnesses told the Caribbean Media Corporation (CMC) that boulders used as "wave breakers" at the sea ports in Castries had been pushed unto the nearby John Compton Highway. Strong winds and heavy seas caused extensive damage along the north and west coasts of St. Lucia, including damage to bridges, roofs, and utility poles. Damage there was estimated at $18 million.Was moving west at nearly 25 mph while passing through.One death reported in St Lucia. Radar animation (Brian McNoldy, Univ. of Miami, Rosenstiel School) NHC Report
2010, October 30th Hurricane Tomas passes just south with 80 mph winds while moving west. As of November 2nd 5 confirmed deaths here over 100 million dollars damage mostly by mud slides. Fly over of damage courtesy of NEMO | Model performance | Radar animation

Please keep these stats free. Donate to HurricaneCity.

Stat sources:

Text Sources:

"Divine Wind" by Kerry Emanuel
"Florida Hurricanes and Tropical Storms" by John M. Williams and Iver W. Duedall
"Florida's Hurricane History" by Jay Barnes
"Hurricane Almanac" by Bryan Norcross
HurricaneCity.com calculations by Jim Williams
"Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States" by Rick Schwartz
"Hurricane Watch" by Dr. Bob Sheets and Jack Williams
"Inside the Hurricane" by Pete Davies
"Isaac's Storm" by Erik Larson
"Killer 'Cane" by Robert Mykle
"Lunatic Wind" by William Price Fox
Miami Herald newspaper (microfilm)
"Path of Destruction" by John McQuaid and Mark Schleifstein
Sun Sentinel newspaper (microfilm)
"The Major Hurricanes To Affect The Bahamas" by Wayne Neely
"The Ship and the Storm" by Jim Carrier
Plus many more......