(br)=brush (ts)=Tropical Storm
(bd)=Back Door,meaning coming from over land from opposite coast.Not all names
are noted,also storms before 1950 were not named.Not every stat on every storm
description is given(since 1871).
Years
within or near core 1876tsbr,1886ts,1886,1887-4ts,1888ts,1891ts,1894br,1895ts,1896ts,1898,1898ts,1901ts,1901tsbr,1905tsbr, 1916ts,1918tsbr,1921,1928ts,1933-2tsbr,1943tsbr,1944-2ts,1949ts,1951br,1954,1955br,1960br,1967tsbr,1980,1986tsbr, 1987ts,1994tsbr,2001 -2ts,2002ts,2003ts,2004br,2007br,2010,2012ts 44
times in 141yrs end of 2012
Names
from list above Dog,Hazel,Janet,Abby,Beulah,Allen,Danielle,Emily,Debby,Chantal,Jerry,lili ,Claudette,Ivan,Dean,Tomas,Ernesto,
Tropical Storm to Hurricane ratio TS=31, 70.45% H=13, 29.55%
Longest gap between storms 12 years 1967-1980
How often this area gets
affected? brushed or hit every 3.20 years
Average years between direct hurricane hits. once every 23.50 years (6h)
Average MPH of hurricane hits. (based on advisories sustained winds, not gusts) 102 mph
Statistically when this area should be affected
next affected in 2012 This is just a statistical average & does not mean the area will be
affected by that year
Last
affected by August 3rd ,2012 Tropical storm Ernesto passes by just north while moving west with 45mph winds.
This areas hurricane past 1886 Aug 16th, 110mph from the ENE 1898 Sept 11th, 110mph from the ESE killing 100 people
here 1921 Sept 8th, 80mph from the S.E 1954 Oct 5th,hurricane Hazel hits just south with 80mph winds from the east. 1955 Sept 23rd, Hurricane Janet levels the
area with 115mph winds press 28.90 . 1980 Hurricane Allen passes just north with 130mph winds on Aug 4th from the ESE
2010 Oct 30th Hurricane Tomas passes just north with 80mph winds while moving west causing quite a bit of damage.| Model performance.
Text Sources:The Major Hurricanes to affect the Bahamas Wayne Neely.....Hurricane Watch Dr. Bob Sheets & Jack Williams.....Inside the Hurricane Pete Davies.....The Ship & the Storm Jim Carrier.....Lunatic Wind William Price Fox...Sudden Sea R.A Scotti.....Hurricane Almanac Bryan Norcross.....Divine Wind Kerry Emanuel.....Florida's Hurricane History Jay Barnes.....Stormscaping Pamela Crawford.....Hurricanes and the Middle Atlantic States Rick Scwartz..... Killer Cane Robert Mykle..... Isaac's Storm Erik Larson.....Florida Hurricanes & Tropical Storms John M. Williams & Iver W.Duedall.....Path of destruction John McQuaid & Mark Schleifstein.....Sun sentinel newspaper(microfilm).....Miami Herald newspaper(microfilm).....NOAA research division.....hurricanecity.com (calculations) Jim Williams.....plus many more.............
